Prikaz osnovnih podataka o dokumentu

dc.contributor.authorMilentijević, Nikola
dc.contributor.authorValjarević, Aleksandar
dc.contributor.authorBačević, Nikola
dc.contributor.authorRistić, Dušan
dc.contributor.authorKalkan, Kristina
dc.contributor.authorCimbaljević, Marija
dc.contributor.authorDragojlović, Jovan
dc.contributor.authorSavić, Stevan
dc.contributor.authorPantelić, Milana
dc.date.accessioned2022-10-25T11:16:06Z
dc.date.available2022-10-25T11:16:06Z
dc.date.issued2022-03-08
dc.identifier.citationПроблеми и тенденције развоја геопросторних система Републике Србије (евиденциони број пројекта ОИ 176017);en_US
dc.identifier.citationИстраживање климатских промена и њиховог утицаја на животну средину - праћење утицаја, адаптација и ублажавање (евиденциони број пројекта III 43007);en_US
dc.identifier.citationТрансформација геопростора Србије – прошлост, савремени проблеми и предлози решења (евиденциони број пројекта ОИ 176020);en_US
dc.identifier.citationРазвој нових информационо-комуникационих технологија, коришћењем напредних математичких метода, са применама у медицини, телекомуникацијама, енергетици, заштитити националне баштине и образовању (евиденциони број пројекта III 044006)en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://platon.pr.ac.rs/handle/123456789/793
dc.description.abstractClimate change is one of the largest environmental issues causing hydroclimatological extremes such as floods, droughts, and aridity. The aim of this study is to assess the observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia). Detailed trend analyses and possible climate scenarios over Bačka has not been presented up to now. In this paper, four data sets were extracted and calculated: mean annual air temperature, mean air temperatures during the vegetation period, mean annual precipitation and total precipitation during the vegetation period. The presented parameters were obtained from the annual meteorological reports of the Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia. Trend equation based on linear regression, trend magnitude according to the trend equation, and Mann-Kendall statistics have been used for trend analysis of climatic parameters. A GIS modeling of the possible climate scenario was created according to the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model (BCC-CSM2-MR). Based on the trend equations, positive trends related to air temperature and precipitation variables are dominant. The trend magnitude shows the largest mean increase in all time series related to air temperature during the vegetation period. The highest mean precipitation increase occurs only in two time series. The Mann-Kendall statistics showed significantly positive trends in 11 cases and no changes in 9 cases. According to BCC-CSM2-MR, changes will be especially dominant in case of air temperatures. The expected changes in the total precipitation during the vegetation period show a tendency towards semiarid conditions. The presented results of observed and projected climate changes demand adaptation measures, especially from the aspect of sustainable agricultureen_US
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherHungarian Meteorological Serviceen_US
dc.titleAssessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modelingen_US
dc.title.alternativeIDŐJÁRÁSen_US
dc.typeclanak-u-casopisuen_US
dc.description.versionpublishedVersionen_US
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2022.1.3
dc.citation.volume126
dc.citation.issue1
dc.citation.spage47
dc.citation.epage68
dc.subject.keywordsair temperatureen_US
dc.subject.keywordsprecipitationen_US
dc.subject.keywordsGIS modelingen_US
dc.subject.keywordstrendsen_US
dc.subject.keywordssemiaridityen_US
dc.subject.keywordsagricultureen_US
dc.type.mCategoryM23en_US
dc.type.mCategoryopenAccessen_US
dc.type.mCategoryM23en_US
dc.type.mCategoryopenAccessen_US


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